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The Ecosystem Management Decision Support (EMDS) system has been further enhanced with an analytical engine—BayesFusion’s SMILE (Structural Modeling, Inference, and Learning Engine) that comes with the GeNIe (Graphical Network Interface) software—for creating Bayesian network (BN) models. BNs are graphical networks of variables linked by probabilities, that have proven useful in decision-aiding for risk analysis and risk management.

Decreasing sedentary behaviour (SB) has emerged as a public health priority since prolonged sitting increases the risk of non-communicable diseases. Mostly, the independent association of factors with SB has been investigated, although lifestyle behaviours are conditioned by interdependent factors. Within the DEDIPAC Knowledge Hub, a system of sedentary behaviours (SOS)-framework was created to take interdependency among multiple factors into account. The SOS framework is based on a system approach and was developed by combining evidence synthesis and expert consensus. The present study conducted a Bayesian network analysis to investigate and map the interdependencies between factors associated with SB through the life-course from large scale empirical data.

Global food demand will increase over the next few decades, and sustainable agricultural intensification on current cropland may be a preferred option to meet this demand. Mapping cropping intensity with remote sensing data is of great importance for agricultural production, food security, and agricultural sustainability in the context of global climate change. However, there are some challenges in large-scale cropping intensity mapping. First, existing indicators are too coarse, and fine indicators for measuring cropping intensity are lacking. Second, the regional, intra-class variations detected in time-series remote sensing data across vast areas represent environment-related clusters for each cropping intensity level. However, few existing studies have taken into account the intra-class variations caused by varied crop patterns, crop phenology, and geographical differentiation. In this research, we first presented a new definition, a normalized cropping intensity index (CII), to quantify cropping intensity precisely. We then proposed a Bayesian network model fusing prior knowledge (BNPK) to address the issue of intra-class variations when mapping CII over large areas. This method can fuse regional differentiation factors as prior knowledge into the model to reduce the uncertainty. Experiments on five sample areas covering the main grain-producing areas of mainland China proved the effectiveness of the model. Our research proposes the framework of obtain a CII map with both a finer spatial resolution and a fine temporal resolution at a national scale.

Agent-based social simulation (ABSS) has become a popular method for simulating and visualizing a phenomenon while making it possible to decipher the system’s dynamism. When a large amount of data is used for an agent’s behavior, such as a questionnaire survey, a Bayesian network is often the preferred method for modeling an agent. Based on the data, a Bayesian network is used in ABSS. However, it is very difficult to learn the accurate structure of a Bayesian network from the raw data because there exist many variables and the search space is too wide. This study proposes a new method for obtaining an appropriate structure for a Bayesian network by using sensitivity analysis in a stepwise fashion. This method enables us to find a feature subset, which is good to explain objective variables without reducing the accuracy. A simple Bayesian network structure that maintains accuracy while indicating an agent’s behavior provides ABSS users with an intuitive understanding of the behavioral principle of an agent. To illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method, data from a questionnaire survey about healthcare electronics was used.

In the past few decades, the rise of criminal, civil and asylum cases involving young people lacking valid identification documents has generated an increase in the demand of age estimation. The chronological age or the probability that an individual is older or younger than a given age threshold are generally estimated by means of some statistical methods based on observations performed on specific physical attributes. Among these statistical methods, those developed in the Bayesian framework allow the user to provide coherent and transparent assignments which fulfill forensic and medico-legal purposes. The application of the Bayesian approach is facilitated by using probabilistic graphical tools, such as Bayesian networks. The aim of this work is to test the performances of the Bayesian network for age estimation recently presented in scientific literature in classifying individuals as older or younger than 18 years of age. For these exploratory analyses, a sample related to the ossification status of the medial clavicular epiphysis available in scientific literature was used. Results obtained in the classification are extremely promising: in the criminal context, the Bayesian network achieved, on the average, a rate of correct classifications of approximatively 97%, whilst in the civil context, the rate is, on the average, close to the 88%. These results encourage the continuation of the development and the testing of the method in order to support its practical application in casework.